Insolvency risk rising in Canada’s P&C insurance industry
By Grant Kelly, Chief Economist and VP Financial Analysis & Regulatory Affairs, PACICC Excerpted from Solvency Matters, a quarterly report on solvency issues affecting P&C insurers in Canada Toronto, ON (June 24, 2019) – Insolvency risk, or the risk that an insurer becomes insolvent, has been rising in Canada’s property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry since 2015. One measure of insolvency risk is the percentage of companies within the industry that report losing money. In a competitive industry, there are always winners and losers. Some insurers try new distribution strategies. Others employ different tools to underwrite. Ideas that work are rewarded. In 2015, 83.4 percent of companies that competed in the marketplace reported profits. However, in the first quarter of 2019, just 63.2 percent of insurers that competed in the marketplace reported profits. This is the lowest level of insurer profitability since 1990. Profitable insurers use their earnings to strengthen their financial health and support growth. Trends in earnings are the primary indicator of future capital adequacy. When firms employ unsuccessful strategies and are not profitable, some have to alter their decisions if their owners wish to continue to put their capital at risk by remaining in the market. Sustained,...