Is gold really a good hedge for inflation?
Gold Bars 1000 grams. Concept of wealth and reserve. Staff | September 28, 2020 Since the mid-1970s, gold prices have increased in periods when investors were concerned about future inflation. Currently, gold prices are near highs comparable to January 1980, when concerns about stagflation were prevalent, and to August 2011, during widespread concerns about the impacts of quantitative easing. A new paper by Claude Erb, a retired managing director at TCW Group Inc., Campbell Harvey, a finance professor at Duke University, and Tadas Viskanta, director of investor education at Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC, argues that the real price of gold today is expensive and that the historical evidence shows that gold is an unreliable inflation hedge. Read: Back to basics on currency hedging From January 1980 to the beginning of 1985, inflation averaged 6.3 per cent per year, while the nominal price of gold fell 55 per cent and the real, inflation-adjusted price of gold fell 65 per cent, noted the paper. And from August 2011 to August 2016, inflation averaged 1.2 per cent per year and the nominal price of gold fell about 28 per cent, while the real price of gold fell about 33 per cent. “Currently, some are concerned...