More Pain Coming For U.S. Office Market: Prudential
What You Need to Know For Prudential, other property types have made up for the ongoing office building slump. A top executive expects high-quality commercial prices to fall to less than 60% of their peak value. The insurance company reported higher earnings on higher revenue for the fourth quarter. A Prudential Financial executive predicted Wednesday that office prices will continue to drop before finally starting to recover. Robert Falzon, Prudential’s executive vice chairman, estimated that prices for high-quality commercial properties have already dropped 16% since the current slump began and might bottom out at around 20% below the peak prices. “Office, obviously, has corrected much more severely,” Falzon said. “Closer to 30% to date, and probably has another 10% to 15% yet to go.” Office mortgages account for only about $8.4 billion of Prudential’s $721 billion in assets, and the strong performance of other types of commercial properties helped to increase the value of all properties in the portfolio by about 6% in 2023, Falzon noted. What it means: Office buildings and their mortgages account for only a small portion of the investment portfolios supporting clients’ life insurance and annuities. But life insurance company executives are in a good position...