{"id":6393,"date":"2018-04-20T08:43:48","date_gmt":"2018-04-20T12:43:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/?p=1578274"},"modified":"2018-04-20T08:43:48","modified_gmt":"2018-04-20T12:43:48","slug":"lawrence-solomon-china-has-declared-economic-war-against-us-and-were-helping-them-win","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/2018\/04\/20\/lawrence-solomon-china-has-declared-economic-war-against-us-and-were-helping-them-win\/","title":{"rendered":"Lawrence Solomon: China has declared economic war against us \u2014 and we\u2019re helping them win"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China is systematically hollowing out the West\u2019s industries, not just toys and T-shirts, as was the case decades ago, but increasingly strategic industries vital to national security. China isn\u2019t succeeding simply because of its comparative advantage in cheap labour. It\u2019s succeeding because of its comparative advantage elsewhere \u2014 in its ability to overwhelm target industries using the power of the state.<\/p>\n<p>Take steel, where China now controls 50 per cent of the world\u2019s production, and where \u2014 until U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on steel imports \u2014 it was one to two years away from collapsing what was left of America\u2019s steelmaking capacity. China became the world\u2019s largest steel exporter more than a decade ago on the strength of energy subsidies, which allowed it to undercut competitors by 25 per cent. Or take aluminum, another target of Trump\u2019s tariffs, where similar energy subsidies propelled China into control of 56 per cent of the world\u2019s production.<\/p>\n<p>Or take rare earths, elements indispensable in military uses such as laser-guided missiles and the F-35 fighter jet as well as cell phones and other consumer products. Here China controls some 90 to 95 per cent of world production, having either bought out competitors or bankrupted them by flooding the market with cut-rate rare earths. China may be prepared to do more, too, to enforce its monopoly. Chinese vessels have been entering Japanese waters, where last week <a href=\"http:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/commodities\/mining\/japan-has-found-a-semi-infinite-deposit-of-rare-earth-minerals-enough-to-supply-the-world-for-centuries-to-come\"  rel=\"noopener\">a study confirmed the discovery of a rare-earths deposit large enough to meet global demand for centuries.<\/a><\/p>\n<ul class=\"related_links\">\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/commodities\/mining\/japan-has-found-a-semi-infinite-deposit-of-rare-earth-minerals-enough-to-supply-the-world-for-centuries-to-come\">Japan has found a \u2018semi-infinite\u2019 deposit of rare earth minerals, enough to supply the world for centuries to come<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/opinion\/lawrence-solomon-amazon-doesnt-compete-in-the-free-market-it-should-have-to\">Lawrence Solomon: Amazon doesn\u2019t compete in the free market. It should have to<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/opinion\/lawrence-solomon-trump-didnt-start-the-trade-war-hes-just-finally-fighting-back\">Lawrence Solomon: Trump didn\u2019t start the trade war. He\u2019s just finally fighting back<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>China knows that Japan, its historic enemy, would be unwilling to part with this deposit voluntarily for any price, particularly since China tried to cripple Japan\u2019s high-tech economy in 2010 by withholding rare-earth supplies. China\u2019s weaponization of rare earths followed a policy set decades earlier: \u201cThe Middle East has oil. China has rare earth,\u201d said Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping in 1992, in deciding to exploit rare earths for their strategic advantages.<\/p>\n<p>The renewable energy industry \u2014 both solar panels and wind turbines \u2014 are now dominated by China, as is the nuclear power industry. The next strategic resource that China plans to control is semiconductors, a backbone of electronics and telecom. Industry analysts predict that China will control 60 per cent of the global semiconductor market within five years, raising national security alarms in the West. The Obama and Trump administrations have both blocked attempted takeovers by China of U.S. semiconductor companies to prevent furthering Chinese advantages in surveillance, an area in which it already excels.<\/p>\n<p>Chinese industry can become dominant in virtually any area it chooses, not through its technological prowess or business acumen, but through government diktat. China\u2019s industries are no more independent of government than Soviet Russia\u2019s industries were during the Cold War. China is able to play this strategic-dominance game because its ultimate prize isn\u2019t profit but power. The subsidies the Chinese government directs to securing strategic industries come at the expense of the overall economy, as the Chinese leadership well understands. It justifies these expenditures on a military calculus: These extravagant subsidies to strategic industries complement China\u2019s extravagant expenditures on its conventional military, which U.S. military officials believe could soon rival American power.<\/p>\n<p>Soon after the 1989 massacre at Tiananmen Square, the West decided to win China over to liberalization and democracy by encouraging it to open its economy, abandon its theft of intellectual property and trade honestly with the West, a process that led to China\u2019s admission into the World Trade Organization in 2001. With free-market reforms, the thinking went, China would develop a powerful commercial class that would act as a counterweight to the political power of the Communist Party and neutralize the threat that the Chinese military and its nuclear weaponry represented.<\/p>\n<p>China did open up its closed economy, but few of the economic reforms and none of the democratizing political reforms happened. At home, where President Xi Jinping has acquired an absolute power not seen since Mao, China has clamped down on dissent more completely than at any time since Tiananmen, imprisoning political dissenters along with any lawyers who dare represent them, taking over the NGO sector and, with new tools at hand, surveilling the populace more thoroughly than ever before possible.<\/p>\n<p>Abroad, China\u2019s access to Western industry allowed it to thieve intellectual property on an unprecedented scale; simultaneously, it became increasingly belligerent toward its neighbours. China is now involved in territorial disputes with Japan, the Philippines, Vietnam, Bhutan, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Brunei, Pakistan, Russia, Myanmar, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Mongolia and North Korea, as well as laying claim to the waters of the East and South China Seas. Although China is not in the Arctic, it this year nevertheless laid claim to Arctic resources as a \u201cnear-Arctic\u201d state.<\/p>\n<p>An expansionist China, not Russia, represents the greatest long-term military threat to the West. In past wars, countries bombed their enemies\u2019 factories, steel mills, electricity plants and other infrastructure to compromise their ability to wage a protracted war. In this new de facto Cold War, China is compromising our resiliency by deploying its economic might to take over our industries without needing to fire a single bullet.<\/p>\n<p>Through all this, what\u2019s known as China\u2019s Rise, the West has been its financier and enabler, fecklessly comforting ourselves with the gains gotten from China\u2019s cheaper consumer goods, and putting out of mind the long-term pains that await us.<\/p>\n<p><em>Lawrence Solomon is a policy analyst with Toronto-based Probe International.<\/em> <a href=\"mailto:LawrenceSolomon@nextcity.com\"  rel=\"noopener\">LawrenceSolomon@nextcity.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The West has been China&#8217;s financier and enabler, fecklessly comforting ourselves with the gains gotten from cheaper consumer goods, and putting out of mind the long-term pains that await us<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":578,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6393"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/578"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6393"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6393\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6446,"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6393\/revisions\/6446"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6393"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6393"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.lifeinsurance-orleans.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6393"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}